动态规划在消防增援调度中的应用

由于各消防中队一般规模较小，对于较大规模的火灾需要多个消防队共同救护，此时若能够实现增援调度的最优化可以提高这些同时出现的火灾被全部扑灭的概率。利用多阶段动态规划对增援调度进行了研究，并分析了具体案例。通过分析得出此方法有助于改善消防资源分配状况，以实现最大程度地减小经济损失。     

太空快速响应发射场能力建设

为实现战争行动和突发事件的快速响应目的,太空快速响应发射已成为重要的解决手段。总结传统航天发射场面临的挑战,分析了太空快速响应活动对航天发射场的需求,从发射场建设需求体系、发射场测试能力推进、发射场改造和补充建设、天地一体测控通信体系、快速机动发射模式等提出了发射场建设发展途径,为满足太空快速响应发射场系统建设提供有益的技术参考。     

Screening multi-dimensional heterogeneous populations for infectious diseases under scarce testing resources,with application to COVID-19

Testing provides essential information for managing infectious disease outbreaks, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When testing resources are scarce, an important managerial decision is who to test. This decision is compounded by the fact that potential testing subjects are heterogeneous in multiple dimensions that are important to consider, including their likelihood of being disease-positive, and how much potential harm would be averted through testing and the subsequent interventions. To increase testing coverage, pooled testing can be utilized, but this comes at a cost of increased false-negatives when the test is imperfect. Then, the decision problem is to partition the heterogeneous testing population into three mutually exclusive sets: those to be individually tested, those to be pool tested, and those not to be tested. Additionally, the subjects to be pool tested must be further partitioned into testing pools, potentially containing different numbers of subjects. The objectives include the minimization of harm (through detection and mitigation) or maximization of testing coverage. We develop data-driven optimization models and algorithms to design pooled testing strategies, and show, via a COVID-19 contact tracing case study, that the proposed testing strategies can substantially outperform the current practice used for COVID-19 contact tracing (individually testing those contacts with symptoms). Our results demonstrate the substantial benefits of optimizing the testing design, while considering the multiple dimensions of population heterogeneity and the limited testing capacity.     

面向计算流体力学的图形处理器资源管理

针对求解计算流体力学过程中图形处理器资源利用率低的问题,提出面向计算流体力学的图形处理器资源优化管理方案。基于计算流体力学的算法特性和同时运行任务的执行特点,设计合理的调度方案。通过动态改变不同任务的启动规模和启动时间,在减少资源竞争的同时提高图形处理器资源的有效使用。实验结果表明:本文提出的资源管理方案相比基线方法在不同任务规模下的平均加速比达到 1.64,对图形处理器的硬件资源使用也有了显著的提升。     

云计算安全协议设计

分析了目前云计算服务中存在的应用风险和安全隐患,并将其抽象为两方面的问题,即安全边界问题和用户服务资源映射问题。为了解决这两个方面的问题,根据云计算系统的实际需求,给出云计算服务的一种普适性的定义;在此定义基础上,提出了云计算服务的安全框架,并设计了云计算服务各层协议集合。在这个框架和协议集合下,分析了保证云计算服务正常执行所需的四方面要素,以及将诸要素较好地整合在一起的方法。     

Revenue management with aircraft reassignment flexibility

A well‐studied problem in airline revenue management is the optimal allocation of seat inventory among different fare‐classes, given a capacity for the flight and a demand distribution for each class. In practice, capacity on a flight does not have to be fixed; airlines can exercise some flexibility on the supply side by swapping aircraft of different capacities between flights as partial booking information is gathered. This provides the airline with the capability to more effectively match their supply and demand. In this paper, we study the seat inventory control problem considering the aircraft swapping option. For theoretical and practical purposes, we restrict our attention to the class of booking limit policies. Our analytical results demonstrate that booking limits considering the swapping option can be considerably different from those under fixed capacity. We also show that principles on the relationship between the optimal booking limits and demand characteristics (size and risk) developed for the fixed‐capacity problem no longer hold when swapping is an option. We develop new principles and insights on how demand characteristics affect the optimal booking limits under the swapping possibility. We also develop an easy to implement heuristic for determining the booking limits under the swapping option and show, through a numerical study, that the heuristic generates revenues close to those under the optimal booking limits. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Bounded flexibility in days‐on and days‐off scheduling

This article presents a flexible days‐on and days‐off scheduling problem and develops an exact branch and price (B&P) algorithm to find solutions. The main objective is to minimize the size of the total workforce required to cover time‐varying demand over a planning horizon that may extend up to 12 weeks. A new aspect of the problem is the general restriction that the number of consecutive days on and the number of consecutive days off must each fall within a predefined range. Moreover, the total assignment of working days in the planning horizon cannot exceed some maximum value. In the B&P framework, the master problem is stated as a set covering‐type problem whose columns are generated iteratively by solving one of three different subproblems. The first is an implicit model, the second is a resource constrained shortest path problem, and the third is a dynamic program. Computational experiments using both real‐word and randomly generated data show that workforce reductions up to 66% are possible with highly flexible days‐on and days‐off patterns. When evaluating the performance of the three subproblems, it was found that each yielded equivalent solutions but the dynamic program proved to be significantly more efficient. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 678–701, 2013     

任务驱动下航材需求量的GA-GM-BP预测

机务保障影响着航空装备战斗力的生成,机务保障资源是任务成功率的物质支撑.基于航材需求信息的灰色性,通过采用DEMATEL方法提取影响航空备件需求量的关键影响因素,采用遗传算法优化的灰色神经网络对需求量进行了仿真预测,其预测精度较BP神经网络和灰色神经网络都高.该方法对于其他航空机务保障资源的需求预测有借鉴意义.     

基于遗传算法的多功能电子系统任务调度

雷达、通信、电子战等多功能一体化是未来作战平台电子系统的发展方向之一,任务优化调度技术是多功能电子系统的关键技术。针对多功能电子系统射频任务调度问题,在建立任务调度数学模型的基础上,采用了改进的遗传算法对模型进行了求解,提出了任务列表和随机键结合的编码方式,设计了以执行时间最短和任务丢失率最小为目标的多目标适应度函数,采用轮盘赌选择、改进型双点交叉和对称交换变异方式设计遗传操作。通过仿真实验,验证了所设计任务调度方法的有效性和优越性。